Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 2.395423e-02 0.028927 0.034149 0.039998 0.046329 0.052938 0.060325
2026-02-01 1.620024e-02 0.023025 0.030736 0.039890 0.050286 0.061577 0.074633
2026-02-08 1.043902e-02 0.017780 0.026722 0.037914 0.051146 0.065965 0.083527
2026-02-15 7.057217e-03 0.014550 0.024370 0.037241 0.052954 0.070965 0.092693
2026-02-22 5.118842e-03 0.012738 0.023409 0.037932 0.056105 0.077293 0.103178
2026-03-01 3.704948e-03 0.011309 0.022691 0.038720 0.059209 0.083436 0.113340
2026-03-08 2.801721e-03 0.010445 0.022589 0.040182 0.063048 0.090379 0.124373
2026-03-15 1.944559e-03 0.009370 0.022019 0.040905 0.065876 0.096045 0.133854
2026-03-22 1.800842e-03 0.009707 0.023559 0.044478 0.072311 0.106071 0.148494
2026-03-29 9.647804e-04 0.008095 0.021887 0.043502 0.072836 0.108844 0.154464
2026-04-05 5.715966e-04 0.007321 0.021443 0.044170 0.075430 0.114109 0.163376
2026-04-12 2.427990e-04 0.006350 0.020531 0.044079 0.076969 0.118029 0.170638
2026-04-19 6.780863e-05 0.005603 0.019974 0.044559 0.079381 0.123197 0.179630
2026-04-26 2.454059e-07 0.004784 0.019162 0.044606 0.081197 0.127631 0.187763
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003471 0.017074 0.042533 0.080021 0.128205 0.191114
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002703 0.015927 0.041821 0.080639 0.131004 0.197149
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002363 0.015698 0.042555 0.083248 0.136337 0.206295
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002081 0.015548 0.043391 0.085986 0.141824 0.215627
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001968 0.015828 0.044941 0.089731 0.148615 0.226577
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001718 0.015661 0.045708 0.092347 0.153933 0.235693
2026-06-14 NaN 0.002037 0.017232 0.049488 0.099295 0.164896 0.251849
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001489 0.016048 0.048456 0.099310 0.166818 0.256729
2026-06-28 NaN 0.001285 0.015876 0.049163 0.101813 0.171978 0.265642